SASDA

22:30Sun 25 Oct

BAR

SD Aucas vs Barcelona SC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 4. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito.

What's at stake. SD Aucas are 5th on 51 points after 33 games, 2 points behind LDU de Quito, 6 points clear of Barcelona SC. A win would take them above LDU de Quito. Barcelona SC are 6th on 45 points after 32 games, 6 points behind Aucas.

Form. SD Aucas have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. In this competition SD Aucas have gone D L L D D D. Barcelona SC have won two, drawn four and lost three of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Barcelona SC have gone D L D D W L.

The numbers. SD Aucas score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. SD Aucas average 11.5 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Barcelona SC score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Barcelona SC average 11.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings SD Aucas have won two, drawn five and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, SD Aucas won one, two were drawn and Barcelona SC won one. The last time they met, on 7 Sep 2026, it finished SD Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SC.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SD Aucas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Barcelona SC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SD Aucas 1-1 Barcelona SC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDA 6 of 6 (100%) · BAR 9 of 9 (100%)96.3%

SD Aucas: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

SDA 4 of 6 (67%) · BAR 5 of 9 (56%)54%

SD Aucas: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

SD AUCAS GOALS

SD Aucas Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

SDA 5 of 6 (83%) · BAR 7 of 9 (78%)70.7%

SD Aucas scored in 5 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

SDA 5 of 6 (83%) · BAR 9 of 9 (100%)92.8%

SD Aucas: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.44

SDA 5 of 6 (83%) · BAR 7 of 9 (78%)78.3%

SD Aucas: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · on half-time scores · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.33

SDA 4 of 6 (67%) · BAR 7 of 9 (78%)74.4%

SD Aucas: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Barcelona SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · SD Aucas: only games against sides at Barcelona SC's level · Barcelona SC: only games against sides at SD Aucas's level

Left off the list: SD Aucas or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Barcelona SC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

SD Aucas goals →

Barcelona SC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SD AUCASWLWWDDDLLD1.30 PPG

BARCELONA SCLDWLWDDLD1.11 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SD AUCAS HOMExBARCELONA SC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.110.80CONCEDED A GAME1.1130%CLEAN SHEETS20%24%FAILED TO SCORE25%3.75CORNERS A GAME5.751.50CARDS A GAME2.751.10xG1.081.04xG AGAINST0.86

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.36POINTS A GAME1.17+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.014LEAGUE GAMES12

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

29%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SD AUCAS OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

BARCELONA SC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SD AUCASxBARCELONA SC

8GAMES51.12SCORED A GAME0.601.12CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.862%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%50%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

SD AUCAS 2 · 22%DRAW 5BARCELONA SC 2 · 22%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-11-13SD Aucas 0 – 0 Barcelona SC

2023-05-07SD Aucas 1 – 5 Barcelona SC

2023-10-07SD Aucas 3 – 2 Barcelona SC

2024-05-12SD Aucas 1 – 1 Barcelona SC

2024-11-02SD Aucas 1 – 1 Barcelona SC

2025-06-01SD Aucas 2 – 0 Barcelona SC

2025-09-28SD Aucas 1 – 1 Barcelona SC

2026-05-17SD Aucas 0 – 3 Barcelona SC

TRENDS

SD Aucas have scored in 70% of their games.

Barcelona SC have scored in 70% of their games.

SD Aucas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Barcelona SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards