CMCDM

19:15Sun 25 Oct

ALI

CD Moquegua vs Alianza Lima

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua.

What's at stake. CD Moquegua are 16th on 10 points after 12 games, level on points with Comerciantes Unidos, 3 points clear of ADT. A win would take them above Comerciantes Unidos. Alianza Lima are 7th on 22 points after 12 games, level on points with Deportivo Garcilaso, level on points with Alianza Atletico. A win would take them above Deportivo Garcilaso.

Form. CD Moquegua have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. In this competition CD Moquegua have gone W L L L L L. Alianza Lima have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition Alianza Lima have gone W W W L D L.

The numbers. CD Moquegua score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Moquegua average 10.6 shots (3.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Alianza Lima score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Alianza Lima average 18.9 shots (5.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished CD Moquegua 1-2 Alianza Lima: CD Moquegua had 7 shots to 16, 34% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The read. Alianza Lima to win. A tight game. Alianza Lima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alianza Lima. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Alianza Lima or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Alianza Lima or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Alianza Lima or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Moquegua 0-1 Alianza Lima (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Alianza Lima win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.16

CDM 9 of 10 (90%) · ALI 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%

Alianza Lima: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level

Double Chance: Draw or Alianza LimaLEANPAGE ONLY

1.13

CDM 8 of 10 (80%) · ALI 5 of 5 (100%)68.9%

Alianza Lima unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua failed to win 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level

Alianza Lima (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

CDM 5 of 7 (71%) · ALI 6 of 8 (75%)63%

Alianza Lima won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Moquegua lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · won 4, refunded 5, lost 0

Alianza Lima to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

CDM 5 of 10 (50%) · ALI 3 of 5 (60%)52.3%

Alianza Lima won 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua lost 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level

CD MOQUEGUA GOALS

CD Moquegua Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · ALI 9 of 10 (90%)68.4%

CD Moquegua scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · Alianza Lima conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level

ALIANZA LIMA GOALS

Alianza Lima Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

CDM 9 of 10 (90%) · ALI 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%

Alianza Lima scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Moquegua conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 7 of 8 (88%) · ALI 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%

CD Moquegua's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alianza Lima's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDM 6 of 8 (75%) · ALI 7 of 8 (88%)87.4%

CD Moquegua's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Alianza Lima's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CD Moquegua: only games against sides at Alianza Lima's level · Alianza Lima: only games against sides at CD Moquegua's level

Left off the list: Alianza Lima or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (74%) and the records (95%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Alianza Lima or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Alianza Lima or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Alianza Lima are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Alianza Lima are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.3%

CD Moquegua goals →

Alianza Lima goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD MOQUEGUADLDWLLLLLW0.80 PPG

ALIANZA LIMAWDWDLDLWWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD MOQUEGUA HOMExALIANZA LIMA AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME1.501.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%45%FAILED TO SCORE10%3.62CORNERS A GAME6.252.88CARDS A GAME1.620.51xG1.342.06xG AGAINST0.65

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

ALIANZA LIMA TO SCORE

–

136 OF 144

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.

DRAW OR ALIANZA LIMA (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME1.73-1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55-7.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES11

Alianza Lima: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

ALIANZA LIMA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD MOQUEGUA OR DRAW

47%

NO · 80/85

ALIANZA LIMA OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD MOQUEGUAxALIANZA LIMA

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CD MOQUEGUA 0 · 0%DRAW 0ALIANZA LIMA 1 · 100%

2026-05-03CD Moquegua 1 – 2 Alianza Lima

TRENDS

CD Moquegua failed to score in 45% of their games.

Alianza Lima failed to score in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards