Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos.
What's at stake. Pafos FC are 32nd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with KuPS, level on points with Inter Club d'Escaldes. A win would take them above KuPS. Riga FC are 22nd on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Universitatea Craiova, 1 point clear of FK Jablonec. A win would take them above Universitatea Craiova.
Form. Pafos FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. Riga FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Pafos FC score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pafos FC average 14.9 shots (6.2 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Riga FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Riga FC average 14.3 shots (6.9 on target), 6.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The case against. Riga FC's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Pafos FC or the draw. A tight game. Riga FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Riga FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pafos FC 1-1 Riga FC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
PAF 10 of 10 (100%) · RIG 3 of 5 (60%)86.7%
Pafos FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Riga FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
PAF 7 of 10 (70%) · RIG 3 of 5 (60%)68.3%
Pafos FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Riga FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.23
PAF 8 of 10 (80%) · RIG 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Pafos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Riga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.9%
Pafos FC goals →
Riga FC goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
PAFOS FCDLWLWDWWDD1.60 PPG
RIGA FCWDWWWDDWLW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PAFOS FC HOMExRIGA FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.700.90CONCEDED A GAME1.1050%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE14%2.67CORNERS A GAME6.862.30CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
RIGA FC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME2.18+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.18+5.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES11
Riga FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
PAFOS FC OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
RIGA FC OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PAFOS FCxRIGA FC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.600.60CONCEDED A GAME0.601.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.611.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Pafos FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Riga FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Pafos FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Riga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards