SC Recife PE vs Criciuma EC SC
Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ilha do Retiro, Recife. The referee is Felipe Fernandes de Lima.
What's at stake. SC Recife PE are 8th on 51 points after 34 games, 1 point behind CRB, 2 points clear of Goias. A win would take them above CRB. Criciuma EC SC are 5th on 59 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Fortaleza EC, 5 points clear of Atletico Goianiense. A win would take them above Fortaleza EC.
Form. SC Recife PE have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. In this competition SC Recife PE have gone L D W W L W. Criciuma EC SC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Criciuma EC SC have gone W W L W W L.
The numbers. SC Recife PE score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. SC Recife PE average 15.8 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Criciuma EC SC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Criciuma EC SC average 15.6 shots (3.2 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings SC Recife PE have won two, drawn four and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Criciuma EC SC won two. The last time they met, on 4 Jul 2026, it finished SC Recife PE 0-1 Criciuma EC SC: SC Recife PE had 14 shots to 10, 54% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. SC Recife PE's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Criciuma EC SC to win. A tight game. Criciuma EC SC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Criciuma EC SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (SC Recife PE: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Criciuma EC SC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); SC Recife PE or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SC Recife PE 0-1 Criciuma EC SC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).