Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Operario Ferroviario EC PR are 10th on 48 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Goias, 1 point clear of Cuiaba. A win would take them above Goias. Athletic Club Sjdr MG are 14th on 44 points after 34 games, level on points with Botafogo SP, 1 point clear of Nautico Recife. A win would take them above Botafogo SP.
Form. Operario Ferroviario EC PR have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Athletic Club Sjdr MG have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. Operario Ferroviario EC PR score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Operario Ferroviario EC PR average 13.8 shots (3.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Athletic Club Sjdr MG score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Athletic Club Sjdr MG average 13.1 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Operario Ferroviario EC PR have won one, drawn none and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 7 Jul 2026, it finished Operario Ferroviario EC PR 1-0 Athletic Club Sjdr MG: Operario Ferroviario EC PR had 11 shots to 18, 47% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Operario Ferroviario EC PR 1-1 Athletic Club Sjdr MG (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).