Zabbar Saint Patrick FC vs Sliema Wanderers
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Centenary Stadium.
What's at stake. Zabbar Saint Patrick FC are 10th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Hibernians, 4 points clear of Gzira United. A win would take them above Hibernians. Sliema Wanderers are 6th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Hamrun Spartans, 1 point clear of Balzan FC. A win would take them above Hamrun Spartans.
Form. Zabbar Saint Patrick FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. Sliema Wanderers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.
The numbers. Zabbar Saint Patrick FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Zabbar Saint Patrick FC average 7.6 shots (2.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Sliema Wanderers score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sliema Wanderers average 9.6 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Zabbar Saint Patrick FC have won one, drawn one and lost three. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Zabbar Saint Patrick FC won one, one was drawn and Sliema Wanderers won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Zabbar Saint Patrick FC 1-1 Sliema Wanderers.
The case against. Zabbar Saint Patrick FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Sliema Wanderers to win. A tight game. Sliema Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Sliema Wanderers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 75% on the records (Zabbar Saint Patrick FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Sliema Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Zabbar Saint Patrick FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.52. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sliema Wanderers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Zabbar Saint Patrick FC 0-1 Sliema Wanderers (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).