Molde vs Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK scored in 4 of 5 away · Molde conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Fredrikstad FK: only games against sides at Molde's level · Molde: only games against sides at Fredrikstad FK's level
Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Aker Stadion, Molde. The referee is Ola Hobber Nilsen.
What's at stake. Molde are 3rd on 40 points after 23 games, 16 points behind Bodo/Glimt, level on points with Rosenborg. Fredrikstad FK are 9th on 29 points after 23 games, level on points with Valerenga, level on points with KFUM Oslo. A win would take them above Valerenga.
Team news. Molde are without S. Diop (inactive), S. Hansen (injury), E. Hestad (leg injury), V. Hoff (knee injury), M. Kikkenborg (achilles tendon injury), H. Stenevik (injury). Fredrikstad FK are without D. Eid (yellow cards), S. Kvile (knee injury), J. Nysveen (injury), D. Eid (yellow cards), S. Kvile (knee injury), J. Nysveen (injury).
Form. Molde have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition Molde have gone W D L W W W. Fredrikstad FK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Fredrikstad FK have gone L D D D L W.
The numbers. Molde score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Molde average 20.2 shots (8.4 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. Fredrikstad FK score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Fredrikstad FK average 12.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Molde have won one, drawn one and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 13 Sep 2025, it finished Molde 1-2 Fredrikstad FK: Molde had 30 shots to 11, 67% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Molde are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Molde the likelier winners; Molde are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Molde. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Molde or Draw at 1.14, 88% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Molde are a clear winner, no Unders); Molde Over 1.5 goals (Fredrikstad FK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Molde 2-1 Fredrikstad FK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).