Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem.
What's at stake. De Graafschap are 1st on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with VVV Venlo. RKC Waalwijk are 12th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with FC Volendam, level on points with NAC Breda. A win would take them above FC Volendam.
Form. De Graafschap have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. RKC Waalwijk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W.
The numbers. De Graafschap score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. De Graafschap average 13.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. RKC Waalwijk score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RKC Waalwijk average 14.4 shots (5.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings De Graafschap have won three, drawn one and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, De Graafschap won two, one was drawn and RKC Waalwijk won one. The last time they met, on 23 Jan 2026, it finished De Graafschap 2-4 RKC Waalwijk: De Graafschap had 7 shots to 12, 69% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 76% on the records (De Graafschap: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; RKC Waalwijk: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: De Graafschap Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: De Graafschap or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); RKC Waalwijk or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: De Graafschap 2-1 RKC Waalwijk (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).