Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Banfield
Match details. Primera LPF. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 01:15 Lagos time.
Form. Independiente Rivadavia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. CA Banfield have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D.
The numbers. Independiente Rivadavia score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Independiente Rivadavia average 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA Banfield score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CA Banfield average 3.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 41%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. No firm call: Independiente Rivadavia are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Independiente Rivadavia the likelier winners; Independiente Rivadavia are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 72% on the records (Independiente Rivadavia: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 8; CA Banfield: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9). Backup: Independiente Rivadavia Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 CA Banfield (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).