Match details. Primera LPF, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 22:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario. The referee is Daniel Zamora.
What's at stake. Newell's Old Boys are 6th on 21 points after 14 games, 3 points behind Lanus, 1 point clear of Gimnasia M.. A win would take them level on points with Lanus. Union de Santa Fe are 10th on 17 points after 14 games, 2 points behind San Lorenzo, 2 points clear of Estudiantes L.P.. A win would take them above San Lorenzo.
Form. Newell's Old Boys have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition Newell's Old Boys have gone D W L D W D. Union de Santa Fe have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Union de Santa Fe have gone W D L L L L.
The numbers. Newell's Old Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Newell's Old Boys average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Union de Santa Fe score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Union de Santa Fe average 14.4 shots (4.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Newell's Old Boys have won four, drawn three and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Newell's Old Boys won one, one was drawn and Union de Santa Fe won two. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2026, it finished Newell's Old Boys 3-2 Union de Santa Fe: Newell's Old Boys had 5 shots to 28, 28% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. Newell's Old Boys to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Newell's Old Boys are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Newell's Old Boys. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Newell's Old Boys 1UP at 1.64, 73% on the records (Newell's Old Boys scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3; led in 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22 (75%). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Union de Santa Fe (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).