Ferencvarosi Budapest vs MTK Budapest
Match details. NB I, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Groupama Aréna, Budapest.
What's at stake. Ferencvarosi Budapest are 6th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Ujpest, level on points with Paks. A win would take them above Ujpest. MTK Budapest are 8th on 12 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Paks, level on points with Kisvarda FC. A win would take them above Paks.
Form. Ferencvarosi Budapest have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. MTK Budapest have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition MTK Budapest have gone W L L L D W.
The numbers. Ferencvarosi Budapest score 2.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Ferencvarosi Budapest average 12.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. MTK Budapest score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. MTK Budapest average 16.3 shots (6.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Ferencvarosi Budapest have won eight, drawn two and lost none. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Ferencvarosi Budapest won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 23 Feb 2026, it finished Ferencvarosi Budapest 3-1 MTK Budapest: Ferencvarosi Budapest had 14 shots to 7, 56% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 44%.
The read. No firm call: Ferencvarosi Budapest are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ferencvarosi Budapest the likelier winners; Ferencvarosi Budapest are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Ferencvarosi Budapest. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: MTK Budapest Under 1.5 goals (MTK Budapest's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Ferencvarosi Budapest Over 1.5 goals (Ferencvarosi Budapest's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ferencvarosi Budapest 2-1 MTK Budapest (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).