CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon. The referee is Gorka Etayo Herrera.
What's at stake. CD Castellon are 2nd on 23 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Almeria, 1 point clear of Eibar. A win would take them above Almeria. Sporting Gijon are 7th on 19 points after 10 games, level on points with Mallorca, 1 point clear of Oviedo. A win would take them above Mallorca.
Form. CD Castellon have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. In this competition CD Castellon have gone W L D W W W. Sporting Gijon have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Sporting Gijon have gone W W W L W L.
The numbers. CD Castellon score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Castellon average 15.5 shots (5.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. Sporting Gijon score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sporting Gijon average 11.5 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CD Castellon have won three, drawn none and lost three. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Castellon won two and Sporting Gijon won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished CD Castellon 1-4 Sporting Gijon: CD Castellon had 15 shots to 12, 59% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Sporting Gijon's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The read. CD Castellon to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Castellon the likelier winners; CD Castellon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Castellon. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Castellon or Draw at 1.13, 88% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Backup: CD Castellon Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (CD Castellon are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (CD Castellon are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Castellon 1-0 Sporting Gijon (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).