Match details. Copa Parana. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Londrina EC PR have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. CA Paranaense PR have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Londrina EC PR score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Londrina EC PR average 14.3 shots (5.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA Paranaense PR score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Paranaense PR average 15.6 shots (7.0 on target), 8.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below. Londrina EC PR's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. CA Paranaense PR or the draw. An open game. CA Paranaense PR are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Paranaense PR. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Paranaense PR Over 1.5 Goals (CA Paranaense PR's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Londrina EC PR 1-2 CA Paranaense PR (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CA Paranaense PR or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 9 of 10 (90%) · CAP 9 of 10 (90%)90%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · the call is CA Paranaense PR or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 8 of 10 (80%) · CAP 9 of 10 (90%)85%
CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · the call is CA Paranaense PR or the draw: likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below (rule 4)
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 9 of 10 (90%) · CAP 10 of 10 (100%)95%
Londrina EC PR: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 8 of 10 (80%) · CAP 7 of 10 (70%)75%
Londrina EC PR: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 6 of 10 (60%) · CAP 6 of 10 (60%)60%
Londrina EC PR: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%
LONDRINA EC PR GOALS
Londrina EC PR Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 6 of 10 (60%) · CAP 8 of 10 (80%)70%
Londrina EC PR scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
CA PARANAENSE PR GOALS
CA Paranaense PR Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 7 of 10 (70%) · CAP 8 of 10 (80%)75%
CA Paranaense PR scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Londrina EC PR conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LON 5 of 6 (83%) · CAP 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
Londrina EC PR: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: CA Paranaense PR Over 1.5 Goals (CA Paranaense PR's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.7%
Londrina EC PR goals →
CA Paranaense PR goals ↓
0-05%
1-06%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.9%
5-00.3%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-35%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
LONDRINA EC PRDWLDLLLLDD0.70 PPG
CA PARANAENSE PRLDWWWLWDWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LONDRINA EC PR HOMExCA PARANAENSE PR AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.50CORNERS A GAME8.752.17CARDS A GAME1.88
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
77%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LONDRINA EC PR OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CA PARANAENSE PR OR DRAW
80%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Londrina EC PR have scored in 60% of their games.
CA Paranaense PR have scored in 70% of their games.
Londrina EC PR kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CA Paranaense PR kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards