Montevideo City Torque vs CA Cerro
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo, a neutral ground. The referee is Esteban Ostojich.
What's at stake. Montevideo City Torque are 3rd on 22 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Club Nacional, 1 point clear of Penarol. A win would take them above Club Nacional. CA Cerro are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, level on points with Juventud, 2 points clear of Racing Montevideo. A win would take them above Juventud.
Form. Montevideo City Torque have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Montevideo City Torque have gone L W L D L W. CA Cerro have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. In this competition CA Cerro have gone D W L D L W.
The numbers. Montevideo City Torque score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Montevideo City Torque average 12.3 shots (4.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. CA Cerro score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Cerro average 10.0 shots (4.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 4.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Montevideo City Torque have won four, drawn four and lost one. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Montevideo City Torque won two, one was drawn and CA Cerro won one. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Montevideo City Torque 1-1 CA Cerro.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. CA Cerro's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. Montevideo City Torque to win. A tight game. Montevideo City Torque are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montevideo City Torque. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Montevideo City Torque or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Montevideo City Torque 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Montevideo City Torque 1-0 CA Cerro (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).