Legia Warszawa vs KKS Lech Poznan
Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Polish Army Stadium, Warsaw. The referee is Szymon Marciniak.
What's at stake. Legia Warszawa are 4th on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Pogon Szczecin, 2 points clear of Wisla Krakow. A win would take them above Pogon Szczecin. KKS Lech Poznan are 2nd on 25 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Gornik Zabrze, 1 point clear of Pogon Szczecin. A win would take them above Gornik Zabrze.
Form. Legia Warszawa have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Legia Warszawa have gone D W W D W D. KKS Lech Poznan have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition KKS Lech Poznan have gone W W W L W W.
The numbers. Legia Warszawa score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Legia Warszawa average 14.5 shots (4.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. KKS Lech Poznan score 2.7 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. KKS Lech Poznan average 17.8 shots (6.1 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Legia Warszawa have won two, drawn five and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Legia Warszawa won one, one was drawn and KKS Lech Poznan won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Legia Warszawa 0-4 KKS Lech Poznan: Legia Warszawa had 5 shots to 24, 33% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Legia Warszawa's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. KKS Lech Poznan to win. An open game. KKS Lech Poznan are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour KKS Lech Poznan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (KKS Lech Poznan are a clear winner, no Unders); Legia Warszawa Under 1.5 goals (Legia Warszawa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 1-2 KKS Lech Poznan (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).