FGFKG

17:30Fri 23 Oct

VIL

FK Garliava vs Vilnius FK Zalgiris B

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 1 Lyga. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.

Form. FK Garliava have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Vilnius FK Zalgiris B have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W.

The numbers. FK Garliava score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Garliava average 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Vilnius FK Zalgiris B score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Vilnius FK Zalgiris B average 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 68%.

The read. No firm call: Vilnius FK Zalgiris B are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Vilnius FK Zalgiris B the likelier winners; Vilnius FK Zalgiris B are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vilnius FK Zalgiris B. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Garliava 1-1 Vilnius FK Zalgiris B (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKG 5 of 5 (100%) · VIL 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

FK Garliava: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Vilnius FK Zalgiris B: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · FK Garliava: only games against sides at Vilnius FK Zalgiris B's level · Vilnius FK Zalgiris B: only games against sides at FK Garliava's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKG 4 of 5 (80%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

FK Garliava: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Vilnius FK Zalgiris B: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · FK Garliava: only games against sides at Vilnius FK Zalgiris B's level · Vilnius FK Zalgiris B: only games against sides at FK Garliava's level

VILNIUS FK ZALGIRIS B GOALS

Vilnius FK Zalgiris B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKG 5 of 5 (100%) · VIL 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%

Vilnius FK Zalgiris B scored in 5 of 5 away · FK Garliava conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Vilnius FK Zalgiris B: only games against sides at FK Garliava's level · FK Garliava: only games against sides at Vilnius FK Zalgiris B's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

FK Garliava goals →

Vilnius FK Zalgiris B goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.0%

0-113%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-35%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK GARLIAVAWDWLLLLLLW1.00 PPG

VILNIUS FK ZALGIRIS BLWLWWWWWWD2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK GARLIAVA HOMExVILNIUS FK ZALGIRIS B AWAY

1.26SCORED A GAME1.561.11CONCEDED A GAME1.3340%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.96CORNERS A GAME5.331.48CARDS A GAME1.67

TRENDS

FK Garliava have scored in 50% of their games.

Vilnius FK Zalgiris B have scored in 90% of their games.

FK Garliava kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Vilnius FK Zalgiris B kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards