Hamrun Spartans FC vs Balzan FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Centenary Stadium.
What's at stake. Hamrun Spartans FC are 5th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Mosta, 1 point clear of Sliema Wanderers. A win would take them above Mosta. Balzan FC are 7th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sliema Wanderers, level on points with Birkirkara. A win would take them above Sliema Wanderers.
Form. Hamrun Spartans FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Balzan FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W.
The numbers. Hamrun Spartans FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Hamrun Spartans FC average 10.8 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Balzan FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Balzan FC average 10.8 shots (4.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Hamrun Spartans FC have won five, drawn two and lost one. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Hamrun Spartans FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2025, it finished Hamrun Spartans FC 1-0 Balzan FC.
The read. Hamrun Spartans FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Hamrun Spartans FC the likelier winners; Hamrun Spartans FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Hamrun Spartans FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Hamrun Spartans FC or Draw at 1.20, 76% on the records (Hamrun Spartans FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Balzan FC failed to win 6 of 8). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Hamrun Spartans FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans FC 1-0 Balzan FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).