AD Cofutpa vs Quepos Cambute
AD Cofutpa scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · AD Cofutpa: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Cofutpa's level
Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Cofutpa are 14th on 4 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Santa Cruz FC. A win would take them above Santa Cruz FC. Quepos Cambute are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, 3 points clear of AD Carmelita. A win would take them above Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
Form. AD Cofutpa have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. Quepos Cambute have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. AD Cofutpa score 0.9 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AD Cofutpa average 8.9 shots (3.3 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Quepos Cambute score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Quepos Cambute average 6.1 corners and 3.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Cofutpa have won two, drawn one and lost seven. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, AD Cofutpa won two and Quepos Cambute won two. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished AD Cofutpa 0-3 Quepos Cambute.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. AD Cofutpa's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Quepos Cambute to win. An open game. Quepos Cambute are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Quepos Cambute; the meetings favour Quepos Cambute. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 74% on the records (AD Cofutpa: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Quepos Cambute: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: AD Cofutpa Over 0.5 Goals at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Quepos Cambute or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Quepos Cambute Over 0.5 goals (Quepos Cambute's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AD Cofutpa 1-2 Quepos Cambute (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).