Match details. Eliteserien, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sør Arena, Kristiansand. The referee is Rohit Saggi.
What's at stake. IK Start are 16th on 16 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Kristiansund BK. A win would take them level on points with Kristiansund BK. Sandefjord Fotball are 13th on 24 points after 23 games, 2 points behind Ham-Kam, level on points with Aalesund. A win would take them above Ham-Kam.
Team news. IK Start are without J. Husebo (foot injury), F. Manojlovic (hand injury), E. Segberg (yellow cards), K. Tonnesen (leg injury), J. Husebo (foot injury), F. Manojlovic (hand injury). E. Segberg is their main creator. Sandefjord Fotball are without D. Koswal (knee injury), F. Loftesnes-Bjune (thigh injury), M. Melchior (knee injury), N. Moller (ankle injury), E. Hadaya (injury), D. Koswal (knee injury). E. Hadaya is their first-choice keeper.
Form. IK Start have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition IK Start have gone L L L W L W. Sandefjord Fotball have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. In this competition Sandefjord Fotball have gone L D W L D D.
The numbers. IK Start score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. IK Start average 17.4 shots (3.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Sandefjord Fotball score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sandefjord Fotball average 15.4 shots (5.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings IK Start have won none, drawn three and lost three. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and Sandefjord Fotball won two. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished IK Start 0-3 Sandefjord Fotball: IK Start had 7 shots to 19, 42% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Sandefjord Fotball's record still gives them 45% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. IK Start or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sandefjord Fotball the likelier winners; Sandefjord Fotball are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sandefjord Fotball; the meetings favour Sandefjord Fotball. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: IK Start Over 0.5 goals (IK Start's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: IK Start 2-1 Sandefjord Fotball (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).