Cadiz vs AD Ceuta
AD Ceuta scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cadiz conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · AD Ceuta: only games against sides at Cadiz's level · Cadiz: only games against sides at AD Ceuta's level
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz. The referee is Andres Fuentes Molina.
What's at stake. Cadiz are 20th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Real Sociedad II, 2 points clear of AD Ceuta FC. A win would take them above Real Sociedad II. AD Ceuta are 21st on 5 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Cadiz, 4 points clear of Albacete. A win would take them above Cadiz.
Form. Cadiz have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition Cadiz have gone L L W D L L. AD Ceuta have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. In this competition AD Ceuta have gone L L D W D L.
The numbers. Cadiz score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cadiz average 11.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. AD Ceuta score 0.9 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Ceuta average 16.2 shots (4.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Cadiz have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2026, it finished Cadiz 1-2 AD Ceuta: Cadiz had 4 shots to 8, 47% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. AD Ceuta's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Cadiz to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cadiz the likelier winners; Cadiz are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Cadiz or Draw at 1.25, 74% on the records (Cadiz unbeaten in 3 of 6 at home; AD Ceuta failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cadiz Over 0.5 goals (Cadiz's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cadiz 2-1 AD Ceuta (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).