Cusco FC vs Sporting Cristal
Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Cusco FC are 9th on 18 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Alianza Atletico, level on points with Sport Boys. Sporting Cristal are 1st on 25 points after 12 games, level on points with FBC Melgar.
Form. Cusco FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Cusco FC have gone L L W L W W. Sporting Cristal have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Sporting Cristal have gone W W W W W L.
The numbers. Cusco FC score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Cusco FC average 13.0 shots (3.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Sporting Cristal score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Sporting Cristal average 12.8 shots (5.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cusco FC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Cusco FC won two, one was drawn and Sporting Cristal won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Cusco FC 2-2 Sporting Cristal: Cusco FC had 10 shots to 20, 49% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting Cristal are the better side, but not at this price. Sporting Cristal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting Cristal.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Cusco FC Under 1.5 goals (Cusco FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Cusco FC 1-1 Sporting Cristal (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).