Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tamme Stadium, Tartu.
What's at stake. Tartu JK Tammeka are 5th on 47 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Kalju Nomme, 3 points clear of Laagri. JK Narva Trans are 10th on 20 points after 32 games, 11 points behind Nõmme United. Tartu JK Tammeka have nothing left to play for.
Form. Tartu JK Tammeka have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. JK Narva Trans have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Tartu JK Tammeka score 1.7 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tartu JK Tammeka average 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game. JK Narva Trans score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. JK Narva Trans average 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Tartu JK Tammeka have won four, drawn one and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Tartu JK Tammeka won three and JK Narva Trans won one. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished Tartu JK Tammeka 2-0 JK Narva Trans.
The case against. JK Narva Trans's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Tartu JK Tammeka to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tartu JK Tammeka the likelier winners; Tartu JK Tammeka are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tartu JK Tammeka. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 77% on the records (Tartu JK Tammeka: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; JK Narva Trans: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Tartu JK Tammeka or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: JK Narva Trans Under 1.5 goals (Tartu JK Tammeka's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tartu JK Tammeka 2-1 JK Narva Trans (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).