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ESTONIA - PREMIUM LIIGA
FC Nomme United crestFNFCN
17:00Fri 23 Oct
PARParnu JK Vaprus crestPJ

FC Nomme United vs Parnu JK Vaprus

CLASS D
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
76
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
FC Nomme United crestFNvParnu JK Vaprus crestPJ
Over 1.5 Goals
FC Nomme United v Parnu JK Vaprus
Estonia - Premium Liiga · 17:00
1.13odds
88%book
-12edge
3/3angles
THE READ

Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Nomme United are 9th on 31 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Kuressaare, 11 points clear of Trans Narva. Parnu JK Vaprus are 7th on 36 points after 32 games, 11 points behind Laagri, 1 point clear of Kuressaare. Parnu JK Vaprus have nothing left to play for.

Form. FC Nomme United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Parnu JK Vaprus have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.

The numbers. FC Nomme United score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Nomme United average 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Parnu JK Vaprus score one and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Parnu JK Vaprus average 3.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Nomme United have won four, drawn none and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Nomme United won three and Parnu JK Vaprus won one. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished FC Nomme United 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Parnu JK Vaprus are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour FC Nomme United.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (FC Nomme United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: FC Nomme United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Nomme United or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: FC Nomme United 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCN 9 of 9 (100%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%
FC Nomme United: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
FCN 8 of 9 (89%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)76%
FC Nomme United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
FCN 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 3 of 5 (60%)44.8%
FC Nomme United: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.36
FCN 5 of 9 (56%) · PAR 2 of 5 (40%)54.2%
FC Nomme United: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
FC NOMME UNITED GOALS
FC Nomme United Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
FCN 6 of 9 (67%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)77.2%
FC Nomme United scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
FCN 8 of 9 (89%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)83.9%
FC Nomme United: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Nomme United: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Nomme United's level
Left off the list: FC Nomme United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Nomme United or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Parnu JK Vaprus Over 0.5 Goals (Parnu JK Vaprus's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Parnu JK Vaprus win or both teams score (no result call); FC Nomme United or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: FC Nomme United or Parnu JK Vaprus (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.1%
FC Nomme United goals →
Parnu JK Vaprus goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC NOMME UNITEDWLLLLWLWLL0.90 PPG
PARNU JK VAPRUSLDDLLLWWLD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC NOMME UNITED HOMExPARNU JK VAPRUS AWAY
1.56SCORED A GAME1.342.31CONCEDED A GAME1.9710%CLEAN SHEETS10%22%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.53CORNERS A GAME3.691.97CARDS A GAME2.13
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.75POINTS A GAME1.00-1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.40.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.012LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
81%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
FC NOMME UNITED OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
PARNU JK VAPRUS OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC NOMME UNITEDxPARNU JK VAPRUS
6GAMES51.83SCORED A GAME0.802.17CONCEDED A GAME2.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%83%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
FC NOMME UNITED 4 · 44%DRAW 0PARNU JK VAPRUS 5 · 56%
6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-11-25FC Nomme United 1 – 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
2024-04-26FC Nomme United 1 – 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
2024-05-31FC Nomme United 2 – 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
2024-07-13FC Nomme United 0 – 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
2024-10-19FC Nomme United 0 – 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
2026-03-14FC Nomme United 7 – 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
2026-05-02FC Nomme United 3 – 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
2026-09-02FC Nomme United 3 – 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
TRENDS
FC Nomme United have scored in 70% of their games.
Parnu JK Vaprus have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Nomme United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Parnu JK Vaprus kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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