Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Nomme United are 9th on 31 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Kuressaare, 11 points clear of Trans Narva. Parnu JK Vaprus are 7th on 36 points after 32 games, 11 points behind Laagri, 1 point clear of Kuressaare. Parnu JK Vaprus have nothing left to play for.
Form. FC Nomme United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Parnu JK Vaprus have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. FC Nomme United score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Nomme United average 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Parnu JK Vaprus score one and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Parnu JK Vaprus average 3.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Nomme United have won four, drawn none and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Nomme United won three and Parnu JK Vaprus won one. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished FC Nomme United 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Parnu JK Vaprus are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour FC Nomme United.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (FC Nomme United: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: FC Nomme United or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Parnu JK Vaprus or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Nomme United or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: FC Nomme United 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).