Harrogate Town vs Bury FC
Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Harrogate Town have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Harrogate Town have gone D. Bury FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. Harrogate Town score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Harrogate Town average 11.6 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Bury FC score 3.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Bury FC average 17.4 shots (7.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Harrogate Town 1-1 Bury FC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Bury FC the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Harrogate Town.
The case against. Bury FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Harrogate Town or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bury FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Harrogate Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Harrogate Town 2-2 Bury FC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).