Stade Gabesien vs CS Redeyef
Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Stade Gabesien have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. CS Redeyef have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Stade Gabesien score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stade Gabesien average 9.0 shots (2.3 on target), 1.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CS Redeyef score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The case against. Stade Gabesien's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CS Redeyef or the draw. A tight game. CS Redeyef are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 83% on the records (Stade Gabesien: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CS Redeyef: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Stade Gabesien 1-1 CS Redeyef (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).