Match details. Indian Super League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar.
What's at stake. Odisha FC are 9th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Goa, level on points with Mumbai City. A win would take them above Goa. Northeast United FC are 2nd on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with East Bengal II, level on points with Bengaluru. A win would take them above East Bengal II.
Form. Odisha FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. In this competition Odisha FC have gone D L D L W D. Northeast United FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Northeast United FC have gone W W W W W L.
The numbers. Odisha FC score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Odisha FC average 8.0 shots (2.6 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Northeast United FC score two and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Northeast United FC average 15.6 shots (5.8 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Odisha FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Odisha FC won one, one was drawn and Northeast United FC won two. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished Odisha FC 4-1 Northeast United FC: Odisha FC had 10 shots to 12, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Northeast United FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Odisha FC: in the last ten meetings, Odisha FC won seven, Northeast United FC won two and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 81% on the records (Odisha FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Northeast United FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Northeast United FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Odisha FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Northeast United FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Odisha FC 1-2 Northeast United FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).