NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda.
What's at stake. NAC Breda are 13th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Waalwijk, level on points with Roda. A win would take them above Waalwijk. Heracles Almelo are 16th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Vitesse, level on points with Jong PSV U21. A win would take them above Vitesse.
Form. NAC Breda have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition NAC Breda have gone W W D W W L. Heracles Almelo have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. In this competition Heracles Almelo have gone W W D W L W.
The numbers. NAC Breda score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. NAC Breda average 18.8 shots (6.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Heracles Almelo score 3.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Heracles Almelo average 21.8 shots (8.1 on target), 8.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings NAC Breda have won four, drawn one and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, NAC Breda won two, one was drawn and Heracles Almelo won one. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished NAC Breda 1-0 Heracles Almelo: NAC Breda had 13 shots to 14, 47% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. NAC Breda's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Heracles Almelo to win. An open game. Heracles Almelo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heracles Almelo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 79% on the records (NAC Breda: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Heracles Almelo: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NAC Breda Under 1.5 goals (NAC Breda's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NAC Breda 1-2 Heracles Almelo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).