FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch.
What's at stake. FC Den Bosch are 3rd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with VVV Venlo, level on points with Dordrecht. A win would take them above VVV Venlo. MVV Maastricht are 8th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Helmond Sport, level on points with Almere City FC. A win would take them above Helmond Sport.
Form. FC Den Bosch have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. MVV Maastricht have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. FC Den Bosch score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Den Bosch average 15.8 shots (4.8 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. MVV Maastricht score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. MVV Maastricht average 8.5 shots (2.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Den Bosch have won three, drawn two and lost five. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, FC Den Bosch won one and MVV Maastricht won three. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2026, it finished FC Den Bosch 1-2 MVV Maastricht: FC Den Bosch had 12 shots to 8, 57% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Den Bosch the likelier winners, but FC Den Bosch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Den Bosch; the meetings favour MVV Maastricht.
The case against. MVV Maastricht's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. FC Den Bosch or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Den Bosch the likelier winners; FC Den Bosch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Den Bosch; the meetings favour MVV Maastricht. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Den Bosch 2-1 MVV Maastricht (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).