Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd SC
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Lai Yang.
What's at stake. Al Shahaniya are 8th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Al Ahli Doha, 1 point clear of Lusail City. A win would take them above Al Ahli Doha. Al Sadd SC are 2nd on 12 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Al-Rayyan SC, level on points with Al-Arabi SC. A win would take them above Al-Rayyan SC.
Form. Al Shahaniya have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Al Sadd SC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Al Shahaniya score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Al Shahaniya average 9.9 shots (5.1 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Al Sadd SC score 2.6 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Sadd SC average 13.3 shots (6.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Shahaniya have won two, drawn none and lost eight. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Al Shahaniya won two and Al Sadd SC won two. The last time they met, on 5 Feb 2026, it finished Al Shahaniya 0-4 Al Sadd SC: Al Shahaniya had 9 shots to 23, 48% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: Al Sadd SC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Sadd SC the likelier winners; Al Sadd SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Sadd SC; the meetings favour Al Sadd SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Sadd SC Over 1.5 goals (Al Shahaniya's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Al Shahaniya Under 1.5 goals (Al Sadd SC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: Al Shahaniya 1-2 Al Sadd SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).