Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Progreso

Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera, Montevideo. The referee is Mathias De Armas.

What's at stake. Montevideo Wanderers are 11th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Boston River, 3 points clear of Albion FC. A win would take them above Boston River. CA Progreso are 9th on 16 points after 11 games, level on points with Racing Montevideo, 1 point clear of Boston River. A win would take them above Racing Montevideo.

Form. Montevideo Wanderers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Montevideo Wanderers have gone L L W W D D. CA Progreso have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition CA Progreso have gone W D L W W L.

The numbers. Montevideo Wanderers score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Montevideo Wanderers average 5.0 shots (2.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. CA Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CA Progreso average 8.7 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Montevideo Wanderers have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Montevideo Wanderers won one, one was drawn and CA Progreso won two. The last time they met, on 11 Jul 2026, it finished Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 CA Progreso.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Progreso or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Progreso or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 CA Progreso (13% chance).