Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Futbalový štadión MFK Zemplín, Michalovce.
What's at stake. MFK Zemplin Michalovce are 6th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with FK Košice, level on points with Podbrezová. A win would take them above FK Košice. FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova are 7th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Zemplín Michalovce, 1 point clear of Dukla Banská Bystrica. A win would take them above Zemplín Michalovce.
Form. MFK Zemplin Michalovce have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. MFK Zemplin Michalovce score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. MFK Zemplin Michalovce average 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova average 6.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 36% against the records' 58%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No firm call: MFK Zemplin Michalovce are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. MFK Zemplin Michalovce are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MFK Zemplin Michalovce. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 74% on the records (MFK Zemplin Michalovce: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: MFK Zemplin Michalovce or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs MFK Zemplin Michalovce); FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs MFK Zemplin Michalovce); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).