CF Pachuca vs CF Cruz Azul
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 04:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.
What's at stake. CF Pachuca are 16th on 13 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Atlante FC, 4 points clear of Necaxa. A win would take them above Atlante FC. CF Cruz Azul are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Atlas, level on points with Club Queretaro. A win would take them above Atlas.
Form. CF Pachuca have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W. In this competition CF Pachuca have gone L D L D W W. CF Cruz Azul have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition CF Cruz Azul have gone W D D L W W.
The numbers. CF Pachuca score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Pachuca average 16.4 shots (5.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. CF Cruz Azul score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Cruz Azul average 19.4 shots (6.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Pachuca have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CF Pachuca won one and CF Cruz Azul won three. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished CF Pachuca 2-1 CF Cruz Azul: CF Pachuca had 12 shots to 20, 37% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. CF Pachuca's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. CF Cruz Azul or the draw. An open game. CF Cruz Azul are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CF Pachuca Under 1.5 goals (CF Pachuca's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: CF Pachuca 1-2 CF Cruz Azul (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).