Club Puebla vs CF Monterrey
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.
What's at stake. Club Puebla are 12th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, level on points with Atletico San Luis. A win would take them above U.N.A.M. - Pumas. CF Monterrey are 8th on 17 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Club Queretaro, 1 point clear of Santos Laguna. A win would take them level on points with Club Queretaro.
Form. Club Puebla have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. In this competition Club Puebla have gone D D L D L W. CF Monterrey have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D. In this competition CF Monterrey have gone W D L W D L.
The numbers. Club Puebla score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Club Puebla average 14.0 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. CF Monterrey score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CF Monterrey average 17.9 shots (5.8 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Puebla have won one, drawn three and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and CF Monterrey won three. The last time they met, on 22 Apr 2026, it finished Club Puebla 1-2 CF Monterrey: Club Puebla had 10 shots to 23, 57% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Club Puebla's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. CF Monterrey to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF Monterrey the likelier winners; CF Monterrey are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Monterrey. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, 73% on the records (Club Puebla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CF Monterrey: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Puebla 0-1 CF Monterrey (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).