Real Cartagena FC vs Boyaca Patriotas
Match details. Torneo DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Real Cartagena FC are 7th on 17 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Depor FC, level on points with Envigado. A win would take them above Depor FC. Boyaca Patriotas are 5th on 18 points after 13 games, level on points with Popayan, level on points with Depor FC. A win would take them above Popayan.
Form. Real Cartagena FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition Real Cartagena FC have gone D D L D D L. Boyaca Patriotas have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Boyaca Patriotas have gone L D L L L W.
The numbers. Real Cartagena FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Cartagena FC average 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Boyaca Patriotas score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Boyaca Patriotas average 4.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Real Cartagena FC have won one, drawn two and lost four. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Boyaca Patriotas won three. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Real Cartagena FC 0-1 Boyaca Patriotas.
Where it pulls both ways. Real Cartagena FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Boyaca Patriotas: in the last seven meetings, Real Cartagena FC won one, Boyaca Patriotas won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Real Cartagena FC 1-1 Boyaca Patriotas (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).