Match details. Segunda Division, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.
Form. Dynamo Puerto FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Aragua FC have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Dynamo Puerto FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Dynamo Puerto FC average 4.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Aragua FC score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Aragua FC average 4.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. Dynamo Puerto FC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Aragua FC to win. An open game. Aragua FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aragua FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Aragua FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Dynamo Puerto FC 1-2 Aragua FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Aragua FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
DYN 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
Aragua FC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Puerto FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level
Aragua FC 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DYN 4 of 5 (80%) · ARA 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Aragua FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Puerto FC trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Aragua FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
DYN 7 of 7 (100%) · ARA 4 of 7 (57%)66%
Aragua FC unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Puerto FC failed to win 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level
Aragua FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
DYN 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 3 of 6 (50%)53.5%
Aragua FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Dynamo Puerto FC lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
DYN 6 of 7 (86%) · ARA 7 of 7 (100%)92.7%
Dynamo Puerto FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Aragua FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level
ARAGUA FC GOALS
Aragua FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DYN 7 of 7 (100%) · ARA 5 of 7 (71%)75.6%
Aragua FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dynamo Puerto FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Aragua FC: only games against sides at Dynamo Puerto FC's level · Dynamo Puerto FC: only games against sides at Aragua FC's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Aragua FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–28.6%
Dynamo Puerto FC goals →
Aragua FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
DYNAMO PUERTO FCLLLWWDLLWL1.00 PPG
ARAGUA FCWWWWWDWWDW2.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DYNAMO PUERTO FC HOMExARAGUA FC AWAY
1.23SCORED A GAME1.231.15CONCEDED A GAME0.6550%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.96CORNERS A GAME4.553.38CARDS A GAME3.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME1.90-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.26LEAGUE GAMES10
Aragua FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
ARAGUA FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DYNAMO PUERTO FC OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ARAGUA FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DYNAMO PUERTO FCxARAGUA FC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Dynamo Puerto FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Aragua FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Dynamo Puerto FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Aragua FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards