Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Wiliete SC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Wiliete SC have gone W W. Mamelodi Sundowns have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Wiliete SC score 2.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Mamelodi Sundowns average 18.7 shots (7.3 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 69% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Wiliete SC the likelier winners, but Mamelodi Sundowns are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Wiliete SC 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).