Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden

Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. The referee is Timo Gerach.

What's at stake. Holstein Kiel are 18th on 5 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Eintracht Braunschweig. A win would take them above Eintracht Braunschweig. Dynamo Dresden are 11th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth, level on points with VfL Osnabrück. A win would take them above SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Form. Holstein Kiel have won none, drawn five and lost three of their last eight, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D. In this competition Holstein Kiel have gone D L D L D L. Dynamo Dresden have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Dynamo Dresden have gone W D L D L L.

The numbers. Holstein Kiel score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Holstein Kiel average 13.2 shots (3.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Dynamo Dresden score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Dynamo Dresden average 12.4 shots (4.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Holstein Kiel have won eight, drawn one and lost one. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Holstein Kiel won two, one was drawn and Dynamo Dresden won one. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Holstein Kiel 1-2 Dynamo Dresden: Holstein Kiel had 9 shots to 10, 59% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Dynamo Dresden are the form side, but the meetings favour Holstein Kiel: in the last ten meetings, Holstein Kiel won eight, Dynamo Dresden won one and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Holstein Kiel 2-1 Dynamo Dresden (9% chance).