Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan.
What's at stake. Madura United are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Persita, level on points with Persib Bandung. A win would take them above Persita. Persib Bandung are 5th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Persepam Madura Utd, 1 point clear of Bali United. A win would take them above Persepam Madura Utd.
Form. Madura United have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Persib Bandung have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Madura United score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Madura United average 10.3 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Persib Bandung score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Persib Bandung average 10.6 shots (4.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Madura United have won one, drawn three and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Persib Bandung won two. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2026, it finished Madura United 0-5 Persib Bandung.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Madura United's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Persib Bandung to win. A tight game. Persib Bandung are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Persib Bandung. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 73% on the records (Madura United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Persib Bandung: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Persib Bandung Over 0.5 goals (Madura United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Madura United 0-1 Persib Bandung (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).