Kettering Town vs Leiston FC
Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Kettering Town are 8th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Needham Market, level on points with Anstey Nomads. A win would take them above Needham Market. Leiston FC are 14th on 12 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Racing Club Warwick, 1 point clear of Stratford Town. A win would take them above Racing Club Warwick.
Form. Kettering Town have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Kettering Town have gone L D W L W W. Leiston FC have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. In this competition Leiston FC have gone D L L W L W.
The numbers. Kettering Town score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Kettering Town average 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Leiston FC score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Leiston FC average 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Kettering Town have won four, drawn one and lost one. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kettering Town won three and Leiston FC won one. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2026, it finished Kettering Town 1-4 Leiston FC.
The read. Kettering Town to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kettering Town the likelier winners; Kettering Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kettering Town; the meetings favour Kettering Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Kettering Town or Draw at 1.21, 74% on the records (Kettering Town unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Leiston FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18 (78%). Backup: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Leiston FC Under 1.5 goals (Leiston FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kettering Town 2-1 Leiston FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).