TSTAP

03:05Tue 20 Oct

DEP

Tapachula Soconusco FC vs Deportiva Venados

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 03:05 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Tapachula Soconusco FC are 17th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Inter Playa del Carmen, 1 point clear of Tritons Vallarta. A win would take them above Inter Playa del Carmen. Deportiva Venados are 14th on 5 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Cordobés, 1 point clear of H2O Purepechas. A win would take them above Cordobés.

Form. Tapachula Soconusco FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Deportiva Venados have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.

The numbers. Tapachula Soconusco FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tapachula Soconusco FC average 9.2 shots (3.2 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Deportiva Venados score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Deportiva Venados average 12.2 shots (7.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. Deportiva Venados have won all of the last four meetings. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Tapachula Soconusco FC 2-3 Deportiva Venados.

The case against. Tapachula Soconusco FC's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. Deportiva Venados to win. An open game. Deportiva Venados are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportiva Venados; the meetings favour Deportiva Venados. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tapachula Soconusco FC 1-2 Deportiva Venados (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Deportiva Venados the favourite), an open game.

The league run. Tapachula Soconusco FC: lost their last two league games (L L L W L). Deportiva Venados: lost their last two league games (L L D W D). Not confident in Deportiva Venados: they lost their last two league games.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Deportiva Venados or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 5 of 6 (83%) · TAP 5 of 6 (83%)67.7%

Deportiva Venados: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 4 · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level

Deportiva Venados or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%

Deportiva Venados scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level

Deportiva Venados 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 4 of 5 (80%) · TAP 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%

Deportiva Venados scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC trailed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · rule 2: the meetings back Deportiva Venados: in the last 4 meetings, Deportiva Ven

Double Chance: Draw or Deportiva VenadosLEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.20

DEP 4 of 6 (67%) · TAP 5 of 6 (83%)41.8%

Deportiva Venados unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC failed to win 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAP 6 of 6 (100%) · DEP 6 of 6 (100%)93.2%

Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

TAP 4 of 6 (67%) · DEP 4 of 6 (67%)58.4%

Tapachula Soconusco FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

TAP 3 of 6 (50%) · DEP 5 of 6 (83%)59%

Tapachula Soconusco FC: both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC GOALS

Tapachula Soconusco FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

TAP 4 of 6 (67%) · DEP 5 of 6 (83%)76.3%

Tapachula Soconusco FC scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

DEPORTIVA VENADOS GOALS

Deportiva Venados Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DEP 6 of 6 (100%) · TAP 5 of 6 (83%)73.9%

Deportiva Venados scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tapachula Soconusco FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 4 of 4 · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TAP 5 of 6 (83%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%

Tapachula Soconusco FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Deportiva Venados's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Tapachula Soconusco FC: only games against sides at Deportiva Venados's level · Deportiva Venados: only games against sides at Tapachula Soconusco FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8%

Tapachula Soconusco FC goals →

Deportiva Venados goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FCWWLDLLWLLL1.00 PPG

DEPORTIVA VENADOSDWWDDWDDLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC HOMExDEPORTIVA VENADOS AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.701.90CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.62CORNERS A GAME4.252.75CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.50POINTS A GAME1.00-1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.60-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.20.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES5

Deportiva Venados: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 85/90

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

DEPORTIVA VENADOS OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FCxDEPORTIVA VENADOS

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.402.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

TAPACHULA SOCONUSCO FC 0 · 0%DRAW 0DEPORTIVA VENADOS 4 · 100%

4 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-09-22Tapachula Soconusco FC 1 – 2 Deportiva Venados

2025-01-26Tapachula Soconusco FC 1 – 3 Deportiva Venados

2025-08-30Tapachula Soconusco FC 1 – 3 Deportiva Venados

2026-01-17Tapachula Soconusco FC 2 – 3 Deportiva Venados

TRENDS

Tapachula Soconusco FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Deportiva Venados have scored in 90% of their games.

Tapachula Soconusco FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Deportiva Venados kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards