Match details. Bulgarian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo have gone W. FK Spartak 1918 Varna have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D.
The numbers. SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo average 13.4 shots (4.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FK Spartak 1918 Varna score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Spartak 1918 Varna average 7.9 shots (2.9 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. FK Spartak 1918 Varna have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 1 May 2022, it finished SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-2 FK Spartak 1918 Varna.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: SFC Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-1 FK Spartak 1918 Varna (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).