Al Nahda vs Sur SC
Match details. Omani League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Nahda have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Sur SC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Al Nahda score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Al Nahda average 8.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Sur SC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sur SC average 6.3 shots (2.0 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Sur SC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Al Nahda to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Nahda the likelier winners; Al Nahda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Nahda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 76% on the records (Al Nahda: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8; Sur SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Al Nahda or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Nahda 2-1 Sur SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).