EC Juventude RS vs Brasil de Farroupilha RS
Match details. Gaucho, Women. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. EC Juventude RS have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. Brasil de Farroupilha RS have won six, drawn none and lost none of their last six league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. EC Juventude RS score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. EC Juventude RS average 15.8 shots (6.2 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Brasil de Farroupilha RS score 6.2 and concede 0.2 a game over their last six, with five clean sheets. Brasil de Farroupilha RS average 20.1 shots (9.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 9% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Brasil de Farroupilha RS are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Brasil de Farroupilha RS the likelier winners; Brasil de Farroupilha RS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brasil de Farroupilha RS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: EC Juventude RS 1-2 Brasil de Farroupilha RS (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Brasil de Farroupilha RS the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).