AMALC

16:30Sun 18 Oct

CAL

Alcione Milano vs Calcio Desenzano

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Alcione Milano have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. Calcio Desenzano have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.

The numbers. Alcione Milano score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alcione Milano average 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Calcio Desenzano score one and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Calcio Desenzano average 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 54%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Calcio Desenzano win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Alcione Milano 1-1 Calcio Desenzano (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 9 of 9 (100%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)95.7%

Alcione Milano: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

ALCIONE MILANO GOALS

Alcione Milano Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

ALC 5 of 9 (56%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)66.7%

Alcione Milano scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

CALCIO DESENZANO GOALS

Calcio Desenzano Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.40

ALC 3 of 5 (60%) · CAL 8 of 9 (89%)73.4%

Calcio Desenzano scored in 3 of 5 away · Alcione Milano conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level

Left off the list: Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Calcio Desenzano win or both teams score (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Calcio Desenzano (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Alcione Milano goals →

Calcio Desenzano goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ALCIONE MILANODDDLDWDDWL1.20 PPG

CALCIO DESENZANOWWDDLWLWDD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ALCIONE MILANO HOMExCALCIO DESENZANO AWAY

1.44SCORED A GAME0.891.56CONCEDED A GAME0.7870%BOTH SCORED40%10%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.56CORNERS A GAME3.562.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.44-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11-4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.70.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES9

Calcio Desenzano: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ALCIONE MILANO OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

CALCIO DESENZANO OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ALCIONE MILANOxCALCIO DESENZANO

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.002.00CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–12.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Alcione Milano have scored in 70% of their games.

Calcio Desenzano have scored in 60% of their games.

Alcione Milano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Calcio Desenzano kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards