Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto. The referee is F. Barbetti.
Form. ACD Ospitaletto have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. US Pergolettese Crema have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D.
The numbers. ACD Ospitaletto score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. ACD Ospitaletto average 4.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. US Pergolettese Crema score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Pergolettese Crema average 3.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. ACD Ospitaletto to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make ACD Ospitaletto the likelier winners; ACD Ospitaletto are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: ACD Ospitaletto or Draw at 1.21, 76% on the records (ACD Ospitaletto unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; US Pergolettese Crema failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: ACD Ospitaletto or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: ACD Ospitaletto Over 0.5 goals (US Pergolettese Crema's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); ACD Ospitaletto or draw and under 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: ACD Ospitaletto 1-0 US Pergolettese Crema (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).