Henan vs Beijing Guoan
Match details. Chinese Super League, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time. It is played at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
What's at stake. Henan are 14th on 28 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Shenyang Urban, 6 points clear of Wuhan Three Towns. A win would take them above Shenyang Urban. Beijing Guoan are 3rd on 44 points after 28 games, 2 points behind Dalian Zhixing, 3 points clear of Shandong Luneng. A win would take them above Dalian Zhixing.
Form. Henan have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D. In this competition Henan have gone L D D D D D. Beijing Guoan have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. In this competition Beijing Guoan have gone W W D D D W.
The numbers. Henan score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Henan average 15.1 shots (4.6 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Beijing Guoan score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Beijing Guoan average 12.2 shots (5.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Henan have won four, drawn one and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Henan won two and Beijing Guoan won two. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Henan 2-1 Beijing Guoan: Henan had 9 shots to 13, 37% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Beijing Guoan to win. Their goals for and against make Beijing Guoan the likelier winners; Beijing Guoan are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Beijing Guoan at 1.35, 76% on the records (Beijing Guoan unbeaten in 6 of 6 away; Henan failed to win 5 of 5 at home). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14 (77%). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Henan 0-1 Beijing Guoan (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).