Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Europa Point Stadium, Gibraltar. The referee is M. Marcenaro.
What's at stake. Lincoln Red Imps are 27th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Borac Banja Luka, level on points with CSKA Sofia. A win would take them above Borac Banja Luka. FC Twente Enschede are 14th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Gent, 2 points clear of Getafe. A win would take them above Gent.
Form. Lincoln Red Imps have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Lincoln Red Imps have gone L L. FC Twente Enschede have won two, drawn one and lost one of their last four, 1.8 points a game. Their last four, newest first: W L D W.
The numbers. Lincoln Red Imps score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Lincoln Red Imps average 9.4 shots (3.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. FC Twente Enschede score 2.5 and concede one a game over their last four, with two clean sheets. FC Twente Enschede average 22.0 shots (8.2 on target), 7.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 64% of the ball.
The read. FC Twente Enschede or the draw. An open game. FC Twente Enschede are the stronger side on form and the table. Their xG points to an open game.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lincoln Red Imps 1-2 FC Twente Enschede (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).