INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

FKFKK

17:45Thu 22 Oct

SKB

FK Kauno Zalgiris vs SK Brann

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FK Kauno Zalgiris host SK Brann in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is set for Thu 22 Oct at 17:45 Lagos time. The match takes place at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas in Kaunas. P. Ilic is the referee.

What's at stake. FK Kauno Zalgiris are 36th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with SC Braga. A win would take them above SC Braga. SK Brann sit 12th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Panathinaikos and Gent. A win takes the visitors above Panathinaikos.

Form. FK Kauno Zalgiris have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, picking up 2.2 points a game. Their last five read W L W W L, though in this competition they have gone L. SK Brann have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.6 points a game. Their last five finished L W L W W.

The numbers. FK Kauno Zalgiris score two and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, keeping seven clean sheets with two games without a goal. They average 11.0 shots (5.7 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. SK Brann score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two goalless matches. They average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.1 cards, with 34% possession.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways here. Their goals for and against make SK Brann the likelier winners, but FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour FK Kauno Zalgiris. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game, but their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The case against. FK Kauno Zalgiris's record still gives them 55% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. SK Brann or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make SK Brann the likelier winners, though FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table with both teams' records favouring FK Kauno Zalgiris, while their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 SK Brann (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

FKK 6 of 10 (60%) · SKB 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%

FK Kauno Zalgiris: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SK Brann: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS GOALS

FK Kauno Zalgiris Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.50

FKK 8 of 10 (80%) · SKB 3 of 5 (60%)57.5%

FK Kauno Zalgiris scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SK Brann conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.21

FKK 9 of 10 (90%) · SKB 4 of 5 (80%)85.1%

FK Kauno Zalgiris: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · SK Brann: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.5%

FK Kauno Zalgiris goals →

SK Brann goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.6%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK KAUNO ZALGIRISDWWWWLWWLW2.20 PPG

SK BRANNWWDLLWWLWL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS HOMExSK BRANN AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4070%CLEAN SHEETS20%16%FAILED TO SCORE14%6.11CORNERS A GAME8.332.00CARDS A GAME2.11

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.18POINTS A GAME1.45+1.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.09+2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.82.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES11

FK Kauno Zalgiris: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SK BRANN OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK KAUNO ZALGIRISxSK BRANN

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.611.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES13.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FK Kauno Zalgiris have scored in 80% of their games.

SK Brann have scored in 70% of their games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

SK Brann kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards