INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

FIFCI

17:45Thu 22 Oct

MJA

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi.

What's at stake. FC Iberia 1999 are 34th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Inter Club d'Escaldes, level on points with SC Braga. A win would take them above Inter Club d'Escaldes. Mjallby AIF are 5th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Atalanta, level on points with St. Truiden. A win would take them above Atalanta.

Form. FC Iberia 1999 have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition FC Iberia 1999 have gone L. Mjallby AIF have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. In this competition Mjallby AIF have gone W.

The numbers. FC Iberia 1999 score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Iberia 1999 average 10.0 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Mjallby AIF score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mjallby AIF average 12.4 shots (4.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 60%.

The read. No firm call: FC Iberia 1999 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Iberia 1999 the likelier winners; FC Iberia 1999 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Iberia 1999. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Mjallby AIF (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

FCI 10 of 10 (100%) · MJA 5 of 5 (100%)98.9%

FC Iberia 1999: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

FC IBERIA 1999 GOALS

FC Iberia 1999 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.36

FCI 7 of 10 (70%) · MJA 5 of 5 (100%)70.8%

FC Iberia 1999 scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.40

FCI 7 of 10 (70%) · MJA 5 of 5 (100%)78.3%

FC Iberia 1999: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCI 5 of 6 (83%) · MJA 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%

FC Iberia 1999's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.7%

FC Iberia 1999 goals →

Mjallby AIF goals ↓

0-011%

1-014%

2-010%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-24%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.5%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC IBERIA 1999LWLWWWLWLW1.80 PPG

MJALLBY AIFLLLDDLLDWL0.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC IBERIA 1999 HOMExMJALLBY AIF AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME0.601.10CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS10%17%FAILED TO SCORE42%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.713.00CARDS A GAME2.43

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.80POINTS A GAME0.58+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00+2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.410LEAGUE GAMES12

FC Iberia 1999: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC IBERIA 1999 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

FC IBERIA 1999 OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

MJALLBY AIF OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC IBERIA 1999xMJALLBY AIF

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.47.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Iberia 1999 have scored in 60% of their games.

Mjallby AIF have scored in 50% of their games.

FC Iberia 1999 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Mjallby AIF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards