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Hitchin Town vs Stamford AFC

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier Central, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Hitchin Town are 20th on 7 points after 12 games, level on points with Worcester City, 2 points clear of Leighton Town. A win would take them above Worcester City. Stamford AFC are 22nd on 1 point after 12 games, 4 points behind Leighton Town.

Form. Hitchin Town have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Hitchin Town have gone L L L W L D. Stamford AFC have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Stamford AFC have gone L D L L L L.

The numbers. Hitchin Town score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hitchin Town average 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Stamford AFC score 0.4 and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Stamford AFC average 1.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. Stamford AFC have won all of the last five meetings. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Stamford AFC won four. The last time they met, on 21 Dec 2024, it finished Hitchin Town 0-2 Stamford AFC.

Where it pulls both ways. Hitchin Town are the form side, but the meetings favour Stamford AFC: in the last five meetings, Stamford AFC won five.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hitchin Town 1-1 Stamford AFC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HIT 5 of 5 (100%) · STA 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%
Hitchin Town: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Stamford AFC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Stamford AFC's level · Stamford AFC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HIT 5 of 5 (100%) · STA 3 of 5 (60%)88.1%
Hitchin Town: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Stamford AFC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 5 · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Stamford AFC's level · Stamford AFC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HIT 5 of 5 (100%) · STA 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%
Hitchin Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Stamford AFC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Stamford AFC's level · Stamford AFC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
HIT 5 of 5 (100%) · STA 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Hitchin Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Stamford AFC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Hitchin Town: only games against sides at Stamford AFC's level · Stamford AFC: only games against sides at Hitchin Town's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.7%
Hitchin Town goals →
Stamford AFC goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
HITCHIN TOWNDDDLDLWLLL0.70 PPG
STAMFORD AFCLLLLLLLLDL0.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
HITCHIN TOWN HOMExSTAMFORD AFC AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME0.301.40CONCEDED A GAME2.9020%CLEAN SHEETS10%33%FAILED TO SCORE83%5.00CORNERS A GAME1.001.00CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.55POINTS A GAME0.09-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.55–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.211LEAGUE GAMES11
Hitchin Town: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
HITCHIN TOWN OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
STAMFORD AFC OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HITCHIN TOWNxSTAMFORD AFC
6GAMES61.00SCORED A GAME0.331.33CONCEDED A GAME3.172.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.567%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%67%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5
HITCHIN TOWN 0 · 0%DRAW 0STAMFORD AFC 5 · 100%
2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-10-07Hitchin Town 2 – 3 Stamford AFC
2023-11-11Hitchin Town 1 – 2 Stamford AFC
2024-04-20Hitchin Town 0 – 2 Stamford AFC
2024-08-13Hitchin Town 0 – 2 Stamford AFC
2024-12-21Hitchin Town 0 – 2 Stamford AFC
TRENDS
Hitchin Town have scored in 60% of their games.
Stamford AFC have scored in 20% of their games.
Hitchin Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Stamford AFC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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